【摘要】 去年我们经历疫情，美国也重新选举了新的总统。今年愿一切顺利，考必过小编整理了关于“When every vote counts：选票结果如何影响美国未来(二)”的信息，一起来看下“When every vote counts：选票结果如何影响美国未来(二)”的内容吧!
When every vote counts
每一票都重要
And yet the unexpected closeness of the vote also means populism will live on in America. With this election it has become clear that Mr Trump’s astonishing victory in 2016 was not an aberration but the start of a profound ideological shift in his party. Defying expectations and covid-19, he has won millions more votes in the huge turnout of 2020 than he did in 2016’s moderate one. Far from being swept away in a blue wave, Republicans have gained seats in the House and seem set to keep control of the Senate. The Republican Party, which fell under Mr Trump’s spell while he was in office, is not about to shake itself out of the trance now. It is even conceivable that Mr Trump, or a member of his family, could run for the White House in 2024.
两位候选人的票数出乎意料的接近，这代表着民粹主义将在美国长期存在。今年的大选结果让我们意识到特朗普在2016年的险胜并不意外，他的获胜反而标志着共和党的意识形态开始发生深远的改变。虽然特朗普没有达到人们的预期，在抗击疫情方面也毫无建树，但他的得票数还是比2016年多了几百万张。民主党的蓝色风暴并没有卷走参议院的多数席位，掌控参议院的依旧是共和党人。特朗普执政期间，共和党无条件为其背书。即便是现在，共和党依旧没有从美梦中清醒过来。他们甚至还抱有幻想，认为特朗普或者他的家庭成员可以参加2024年的美国大选。
The outside world, which has been watching this contest with rapt attention, will draw two conclusions from America’s failure to reject Trumpism more decisively. The first will be among populist nationalists who look to Mr Trump for inspiration and who will now reckon that their brand of politics has a brighter future outside America, too. An abject defeat for Mr Trump may have spelled trouble for politicians like Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil and Marine Le Pen in France. Instead Nigel Farage, formerly the leader of the Brexit Party, is busy planning his comeback. The persistence of Mr Trump’s support suggests that the rejection of immigration, urban elites and globalisation, which gathered pace after the financial crisis of 2008-09, still has further to run.
其他国家也一直关注着美国大选。由于美国未能果断地摒弃特朗普主义，各方观众由于立场不同分别得出了两个不同的结论。其一来自那些民粹主义者，他们视特朗普为精神领袖，这些人认为他们所追求的政治目标可以在美国以外的地方青出于蓝。特朗普的惨败可能会给巴西的贾伊尔•博尔索纳罗和法国的马琳•勒庞等政界人士带来麻烦。相反，英国退欧党前领导人奈杰尔•法拉奇正忙于计划复出。2008到2009年的金融危机之后，移民政策、城镇精英以及全球化进程得到了极大的发展。但由于人们对于特朗普热情不减，这表明上述各领域的发展依旧存在阻碍。
The second conclusion is to be wary of relying on America. Mr Trump has been a disruptive, transactional force in foreign affairs, contemptuous of alliances and multilateralism. Mr Biden, by contrast, is steeped in the traditional values of American diplomacy from his time in the Senate. He would doubtless seek to restore close ties with allies and to strengthen global governance, by for instance, remaining in the World Health Organisation and rejoining the Paris agreement on climate change. But after this election result, everyone will know that it could all revert again in 2024.
其二是要警惕对于美国的过分依赖。特朗普在外交方面一直恣意妄为，对于本国的联盟和多边主义更是毫不在意。而拜登则刚好相反，从他在参议院工作时起，美国外交的传统价值观就已深深印在他的脑海里。毫无疑问，拜登上台后，一定会修复与盟友的关系，并加强全球治理。比如重新加入世界卫生组织和巴黎气候协定。但所有人都知道，一旦今年大选结束，所有的一切都将在2024年重新洗牌。
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